UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)
YES Price
40.0%
NO Price
60.0%
Volume
$44.1K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Days to Expiry
3
Mar 15, 2026
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
53.8%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
3
Total smart money volume: $2.1K across 3 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 3 tracked wallets have placed $2.1K in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
The market is relatively balanced with YES at 40.0% and NO at 60.0%. A YES resolution returns 2.50x while a NO resolution returns 1.67x. In balanced markets like this, the edge from smart money consensus becomes the primary decision driver rather than raw payout asymmetry.
This market expires in 3 days — resolution is imminent. Short-dated markets tend to have the most accurate pricing since most information is already known. Any remaining edge is likely small, but the rapid time decay means positions resolve quickly with minimal holding risk.
At $44.1K in volume, this market has seen limited trading activity. Lower-volume markets can offer larger edges but come with execution risk — wide spreads and thin order books may make it difficult to enter or exit at desired prices.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
32/72
Mild Opportunity
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$16.2K
Available depth
This market presents a moderate trading opportunity. The edge exists but is balanced against factors like liquidity constraints or lower conviction in the consensus. Position sizing should reflect the moderate confidence level.
Trade This Market on PolyFire
Copy smart money trades automatically. One-click execution via Telegram.
Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 40.0% and NO at 60.0%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 40.0%. The market has seen $44.1K in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 54% strength. 3 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $2.1K. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 32 out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this sports market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 15, 2026. That's 3 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)" market?
The market has $16.2K in liquidity. Thin liquidity — may experience slippage on larger orders Total volume traded is $44.1K, which provides additional context on market activity.
Get Alpha Delivered
Weekly smart money moves, top-scoring markets, and data-driven predictions. No noise.
Coming soon.