Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
YES Price
2.9%
NO Price
97.1%
Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Days to Expiry
4
Mar 17, 2026
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
50.0%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
2
Total smart money volume: $195 across 2 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 2 tracked wallets have placed $195 in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
At 2.9% for YES, this is a high-payout longshot. A YES resolution would return roughly 34.5x on the investment. The asymmetry is attractive — you don't need to be right often on these to profit, but the base rate of sub-20% events resolving YES is low. Consider position sizing accordingly.
With 4 days until expiry, this is a short-duration trade. The compressed timeline limits exposure to black swan events but also means the market is likely well-informed. Position conviction should be high at this stage.
At $1.7K in volume, this market has seen limited trading activity. Lower-volume markets can offer larger edges but come with execution risk — wide spreads and thin order books may make it difficult to enter or exit at desired prices.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
27/72
Low Opportunity
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$2.5K
Available depth
Current metrics suggest limited trading opportunity in this market. The edge may be too small, the timeline too long, or the liquidity too thin to warrant a high-conviction position. Monitor for changes in smart money positioning.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 2.9% and NO at 97.1%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 2.9%. The market has seen $1.7K in trading volume.
What does smart money think about "Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 50% strength. 2 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $195. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 27 out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this entertainment market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on March 17, 2026. That's 4 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?" market?
The market has $2.5K in liquidity. Very thin liquidity — trade with caution, significant slippage risk Total volume traded is $1.7K, which provides additional context on market activity.
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