Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES Price
20.5%
NO Price
79.5%
Volume
--
Liquidity
$1.5K
Days to Expiry
110
Jun 30, 2026
Alpha Score
Minimal Alpha
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Lean YES
Strength
66.7%
Edge
55.7%
Smart Wallets
3
Total smart money volume: $55 across 3 wallets. Direction: STRONG YES.
Market Analysis
Smart money is decisively bullish on this market. 3 tracked wallets with a history of profitable trades have taken positions totaling $55, overwhelmingly favoring YES. This level of conviction from informed traders is notable — when this many smart wallets align on one side, it often signals information or analysis the broader market hasn't fully priced in.
The consensus edge is 55.7% — a substantial gap between the current market price and where smart money analysis suggests the true probability lies. With the market pricing YES at 20.5% and the Lean YES consensus, there's a meaningful divergence that could represent a trading opportunity. Edges this large don't persist indefinitely; they either correct as the market catches up, or the smart money thesis proves wrong.
The market is relatively balanced with YES at 20.5% and NO at 79.5%. A YES resolution returns 4.88x while a NO resolution returns 1.26x. In balanced markets like this, the edge from smart money consensus becomes the primary decision driver rather than raw payout asymmetry.
This is a longer-dated market with 110 days to resolution. While the annualized return potential can look attractive, extended timelines come with significant uncertainty. Smart money positions taken this far out reflect high-conviction views, but a lot can change.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
31/72
Mild Opportunity
Annualized Return
185%
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$1.5K
Available depth
This market presents a moderate trading opportunity. The edge exists but is balanced against factors like liquidity constraints or lower conviction in the consensus. Position sizing should reflect the moderate confidence level.
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Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 20.5% and NO at 79.5%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 20.5%.
What does smart money think about "Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?"?
Smart money consensus is Lean YES with 67% strength. 3 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $55. Their overall direction is STRONG YES.
Is "Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 31 out of 72 and an alpha score of 1 out of 100. The consensus edge — the gap between market price and smart money valuation — is 55.7%. The annualized return potential is 185%. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this business & economics market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026. That's 110 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?" market?
The market has $1.5K in liquidity. Very thin liquidity — trade with caution, significant slippage risk
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