Business & Economics Prediction Markets
Markets covering economic indicators, corporate events, earnings, IPOs, and macroeconomic trends. Data-driven analysis of business and economic outcomes.
Markets
800
Avg Alpha Score
10.1
Total Volume
$75.5M
With Smart Money Data
800
800 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 73Strong YES
$815KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 73Strong NO
$567KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 69Strong NO
$156KWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 69Strong YES
$19KWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 80%/NO 20%
Alpha 68Strong YES
$46KGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 55Strong YES
$115KWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 52Strong NO
$302KWill Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 51Strong NO
$137KWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 50Strong NO
$56KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 49Strong NO
$51KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 48Strong NO
$297KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
YES 58%/NO 42%
Alpha 47Strong NO
$56KWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 46Strong YES
$24KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of March?
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 44Strong NO
$3KWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 44Strong NO
$384KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 43Strong NO
$14KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 40Strong NO
$120KTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 38Strong NO
$125KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 37Strong YES
$1.5MWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 37Strong NO
$126KWill Amazon reach $224 in March?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 36Strong NO
$3KWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?
YES 59%/NO 42%
Alpha 35Lean YES
$48KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 34Strong NO
$31KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of March?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 33Strong NO
$304Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 33Strong NO
$363KWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 31Lean YES
$671KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of March?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 30Strong NO
$3KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 30Strong NO
$92KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 30Strong NO
$23KWill Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
YES 66%/NO 35%
Alpha 30Strong YES
$36KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$3KWill Meta (META) close above $640 end of March?
YES 53%/NO 47%
Alpha 28Strong NO
$6KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$11KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of March?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 27Strong NO
$2KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$20KWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$29KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
YES 92%/NO 9%
Alpha 27Lean YES
$1.4MWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 25Strong YES
$4KWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
YES 35%/NO 66%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$26KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$178KWill George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$222Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
YES 53%/NO 48%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$15KWill Meta (META) close above $680 end of March?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$3KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 25Lean NO
$579KS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 25Lean NO
$107KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 24Lean YES
$15KWill GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 98%
Alpha 24Strong NO
$117KWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$19KWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 24Strong NO
$3KWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$6KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$2KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 23Strong YES
$9KWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
YES 45%/NO 56%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$101KGemini 3.5 released by May 31?
YES 35%/NO 66%
Alpha 23Strong YES
$48KWill Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 95%/NO 6%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$1KWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$9KWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$42KWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$27KWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?
YES 82%/NO 19%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$4KWill Meta (META) close above $660 end of March?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$667Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$63KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 21Lean YES
$271KWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $215?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$65GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$161KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 21Lean NO
$255KWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 20Strong NO
$97KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$9KDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
YES 34%/NO 67%
Alpha 20Lean NO
$372KWill Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 49%/NO 51%
Alpha 20Strong NO
$3KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$2KWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 20Lean YES
$312KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$172Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of March?
YES 69%/NO 32%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$2KWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$7KWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$238KWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 19Lean YES
$66KWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$19KWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
YES 87%/NO 14%
Alpha 18Lean YES
$70KWill DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 18Lean YES
$79KMeta "Mango" model released by June 30?
YES 35%/NO 66%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$2KWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 18Lean YES
$23KWill Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$317Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
YES 64%/NO 36%
Alpha 18Lean YES
$21KWill Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$6KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$9KWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$14KS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?
YES 70%/NO 31%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$6KWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$1KWill Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?
YES 84%/NO 16%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$1KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 17Lean YES
$10KWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$20KWill Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$9KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$44KWill NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?
YES 24%/NO 77%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$13KWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$106KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$2KWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
YES 69%/NO 32%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$3KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in March 2026?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$4KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$210KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$12KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$1.9MWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$48KTesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$37KWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$5KWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$53KWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$15KWill Tesla dip to $375 in March?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$6KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of March?
YES 77%/NO 24%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$2KWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$23KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$24KAnother US bank failure by March 31?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 15Lean NO
$74KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
YES 60%/NO 40%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$5KMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$6KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$17KWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$110KWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 85%/NO 15%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$69KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$281KWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $330 end of March?
YES 85%/NO 15%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$269Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$261KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$82KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$29KWill Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$9KNasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$21KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$334KGPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$3Human moon landing in 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$1.9MWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$109KWill Jensen Huang say "Deep Learning" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 13Lean NO
$153Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$6KWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$65KWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
YES 81%/NO 20%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$115KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$12KWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 45%/NO 56%
Alpha 13Lean NO
$58KOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$29KWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$4KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$8KWill Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$108KApplied Intuition IPO before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$152KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$31KWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
YES 50%/NO 51%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$23KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 30%/NO 70%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$178KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
YES 51%/NO 49%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$570KWill Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$1KWill Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 89%/NO 11%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$10KWill Jensen Huang say "Google" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 42%/NO 59%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$217Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$13KWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$205KWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 16 above $265?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$6Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$13KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
YES 63%/NO 38%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$29KWill Amazon dip to $192 in March?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$3KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$8KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$184KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of March?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$3KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$123KWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $640?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$2KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$4KWill Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$9KWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 11Lean YES
$478KWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$8KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$3KWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$942Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $400?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$2KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$15KDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$654KWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
YES 54%/NO 46%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$193KWill Google reach $320 in March?
YES 53%/NO 48%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$9KWill Gold (GC) settle over $8,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$1KWill Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%?
YES 59%/NO 42%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$11KWill Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
YES 50%/NO 51%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$12KWill OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 74%/NO 26%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$30KOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
YES 45%/NO 56%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$1.0MWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$23KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$806Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of March?
YES 83%/NO 18%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$4KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$1KWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$416KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$1KWill Meta (META) close above $600 end of March?
YES 81%/NO 19%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$1KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$24KDeepSeek V4 released by March 21?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$220Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$6KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$19KWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$6KWill PDD Holdings (PDD) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 83%/NO 17%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$4KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$126KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of March?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$3KWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$1.8MWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$3KWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
YES 88%/NO 13%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$2KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 75%/NO 26%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$4KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$2KWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$43KBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
YES 59%/NO 41%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$75KWill Jensen Huang say "Data Center" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 96%/NO 5%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$576Will Jensen Huang say "GPU" 5+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 96%/NO 4%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$2KWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$12KWill Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$17KWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$31KWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$227KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$33KWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$15KWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$76KWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$3KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?
YES 90%/NO 11%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$1KWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$4KWill Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$335Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 56%/NO 45%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$1KWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$223KWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $400-$405 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 30%/NO 71%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$151Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$135KWill Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 67%/NO 34%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$7KWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $400?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$4KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$827Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$2KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$190Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 3% and 4%?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$3KTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
YES 32%/NO 68%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$263KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$48KWill Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 53%/NO 47%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$39KWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$5KWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$60KRevolut IPO before 2027?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$33KWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$10KWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
YES 56%/NO 45%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$13KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 66%/NO 35%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$216KWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$3KWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 26%/NO 75%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$411Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 4%/NO 97%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$17KWill US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$13KWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$104KWill Tesla dip to $353 in March?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$4KWill Amazon dip to $152 in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$751Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$184KWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$126KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?
YES 98%/NO 3%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$1KWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$161KWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$187KWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$118KWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 4% and 5%?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$4KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$10KWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$6KWill Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$7KWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
YES 48%/NO 52%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$223KWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$38KWill Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$84KWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$162KWill Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$25KWill NVIDIA reach $200 in March?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$13KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in June?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$360Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$115KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$1KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$4KFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
YES 78%/NO 22%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$33KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$5KWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$34KWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $385?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$2KS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?
YES 75%/NO 26%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$18KWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$283KWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$14KWill Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 39%/NO 61%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$931Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$21KDatabricks IPO before 2027?
YES 27%/NO 74%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$280KGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
YES 64%/NO 36%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$6KWill 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$55KWill Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 89%/NO 11%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$9KWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
YES 83%/NO 18%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$40KWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$82KWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$238KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$1KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$11KWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$274KStripe IPO before 2027?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$196KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of March?
YES 85%/NO 15%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$184Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
YES 62%/NO 38%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$257KWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$469KWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$156KWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$28KWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$553KWill Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$8KWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$128KWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $255?
YES 61%/NO 40%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$2KWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $200?
YES 82%/NO 19%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$20Vanta IPO before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$98KMistral AI IPO before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$120KWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$47KWill OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$22KWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$25KWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in March?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$8KSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$22KWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$173KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$27KWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$34KBrex IPO before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$68KWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$25KWill Jensen Huang say "Microsoft" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$186Will Tesla reach $450 in March?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$4KWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $620?
YES 94%/NO 7%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$778Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 5% and 6%?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$3KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$20KWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$619KWill Jensen Huang say "Autonomous" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$264Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$201KWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
YES 53%/NO 48%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$58KWill Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$28KWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $630?
YES 63%/NO 37%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$668Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 83%/NO 17%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$2KWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
YES 64%/NO 36%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$18KAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$1.8MWill Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$38KWill Jensen Huang say "Training" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$6KWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$95KWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$205Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$51KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$5KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$709Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of March?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$1KWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 37%/NO 63%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$33Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $410?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$1KElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$372KWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$35KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of March?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$1KWill Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$6KWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
YES 73%/NO 28%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$73KWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$94KWill Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$9KWill Meta (META) close above $720 end of March?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$1KWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KOpenAI IPO before 2027?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$155KFannie Mae IPO before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$87KAnysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$80KWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$388KWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$30KWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$105KWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$4KWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$19KWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$21KWill Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$18KWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
YES 4%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$678KWill Meta (META) close above $780 end of March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$1KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$193KWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $390?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$1KFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$211KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$21KWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$11KRemote IPO before 2027?
YES 67%/NO 33%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$29KWill the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$16KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$15KSHEIN IPO before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$46KWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$133KWill Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$12KWill Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$233KWill Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$86KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $180?
YES 85%/NO 15%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$2KWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$3KWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$4KCelonis IPO before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$189KWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$9KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$142KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$14KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 13?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$4KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in March?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will Amazon reach $260 in March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$103Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$47KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $190?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Ledger IPO before 2027?
YES 73%/NO 27%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$463KWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$210KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$101KWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $680?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$1KWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$170KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $195?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$1KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will Apple (AAPL) close at $260-$265 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$797Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$47KWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $420?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$3KWill Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$6KWill the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$694Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$964Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 95%/NO 6%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$2KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 89%/NO 11%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$22KNo change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$91KWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $265?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$2KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of March?
YES 38%/NO 63%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$42KWill the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$11KWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$6KWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $205?
YES 81%/NO 20%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$898Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$49KWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$72KAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
YES 90%/NO 11%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$9KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit 5000 (LOW) in March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$202Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$65KSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$2KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$12KWill Meta acquire TikTok?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$89KWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $290?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$1KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$14KWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$114KWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of March?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of March?
YES 48%/NO 53%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$214K100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$10KWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$2KRipple Labs IPO before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$108KWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$914KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$83KWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$63KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$230KWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$56KWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $405?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$718Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $430?
YES 3%/NO 98%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$453Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Tesla reach $435 in March?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Amazon reach $232 in March?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$7.9MWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $250?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$227Will Amazon reach $244 in March?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$2KWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$431Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will BP be acquired before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$1.0MWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $175?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$534Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$767Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $670?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$2KWill Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Canva IPO before 2027?
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$16KWill Tesla reach $473 in March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$4KWill Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$4KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$38KWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of March?
YES 68%/NO 33%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 end of March?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,700-$6,800 in March?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $420?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$1KWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
YES 87%/NO 13%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$7KWill Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
YES 74%/NO 27%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $390?
YES 97%/NO 4%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$3KWill OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$565KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$51KWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
YES 34%/NO 67%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
YES 91%/NO 9%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of March?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
YES 77%/NO 24%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $430-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?
YES 42%/NO 59%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over 6,000 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
YES 76%/NO 24%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will André Maestrini be the next CEO of Lululemon?
YES 32%/NO 68%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $24,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of March?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
YES 3%/NO 98%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$4KWill Meta (META) close above $580 end of March?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Waymo IPO before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$15KWill Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
YES 49%/NO 51%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $30,000 (HIGH) in December?
YES 34%/NO 66%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $19,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
YES 54%/NO 47%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $38,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
YES 42%/NO 59%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of March?
YES 79%/NO 21%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
YES 37%/NO 63%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $32,000 (HIGH) in December?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of March?
YES 81%/NO 19%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Lean NO
$53KWill Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Negative GDP growth in 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of March?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
YES 53%/NO 48%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will John Kennedy vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
YES 91%/NO 9%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Strong NO
$66KWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of March?
YES 92%/NO 9%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$40KWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $28,500 (HIGH) in December?
YES 39%/NO 61%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $160 end of March?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of March?
YES 75%/NO 25%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of March?
YES 62%/NO 39%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
YES 30%/NO 70%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$802KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
YES 85%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
$172KWill General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$989Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$63KWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$925KWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$127KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
YES 45%/NO 55%
No ScoreSplit
--Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
YES 31%/NO 69%
No ScoreSplit
$24KWill NVIDIA reach $216 in March?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Meta (META) close above $760 end of March?
YES 48%/NO 52%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?
YES 41%/NO 59%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?
YES 22%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
YES 96%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?
YES 65%/NO 36%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$27KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 41%/NO 59%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$26KWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$2KOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
YES 36%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
$26KWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
$86KWill Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 84%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$301KWill Emily White be the next CEO of Lululemon?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
YES 48%/NO 53%
No ScoreSplit
$249KWill US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreSplit
$44KWill Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 87%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$3KSam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$70KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$7,300 in March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$24KWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$15KCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
YES 24%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
$61KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
YES 34%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 91%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
$11KWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
YES 43%/NO 57%
No ScoreSplit
$9KWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 50%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Google reach $330 in March?
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$11KWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$12KWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
YES 56%/NO 44%
No ScoreSplit
$567KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
YES 55%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
$113KWill Tesla dip to $330 in March?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Lululemon Athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$170KWill Jensen Huang say "Blackwell" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 98%/NO 2%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreSplit
$40KWill a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$53KWill NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?
YES 12%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$14KWill Amazon acquire TikTok?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
--Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
YES 17%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
$54KWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jensen Huang say "Invest" or "Investment" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 89%/NO 12%
No ScoreSplit
$379Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
YES 60%/NO 41%
No ScoreSplit
--MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$728KWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$1.1MWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$367KWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
YES 39%/NO 62%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$121KRamp IPO before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
YES 23%/NO 77%
No ScoreSplit
--Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$359KWill Amazon dip to $200 in March?
YES 72%/NO 28%
No ScoreSplit
$6KFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
$12KWill Jensen Huang say "OpenAI" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 73%/NO 27%
No ScoreSplit
$630Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $300?
YES 85%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
YES 34%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$233KWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
YES 17%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
$27KWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $33,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
YES 31%/NO 69%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$33KWill Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$70KWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 56%/NO 45%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Amazon dip to $168 in March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$384Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
YES 25%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
$55KWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$166KGlean IPO before 2027?
YES 16%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
$32KWill Tesla reach $420 in March?
YES 42%/NO 59%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
YES 26%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 82%/NO 18%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
YES 18%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$148KWill Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 97%/NO 3%
No ScoreSplit
$21KWill SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
YES 16%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$41KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of March?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$109KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 78%/NO 23%
No ScoreSplit
$5KFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
YES 39%/NO 62%
No ScoreSplit
$60KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
YES 54%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 67%/NO 34%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 98%/NO 2%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
YES 89%/NO 12%
No ScoreSplit
$47KWill Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 22%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 73%/NO 27%
No ScoreSplit
$13KJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
YES 65%/NO 35%
No ScoreSplit
$48KWill Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$40KAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
YES 71%/NO 29%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 27%/NO 73%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 40%/NO 61%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$15KOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
YES 64%/NO 36%
No ScoreSplit
$53KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of March?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
--Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $310?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $210?
YES 52%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of March?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$2KAnthropic acquired before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
YES 66%/NO 34%
No ScoreSplit
$222KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Anthropic CEO arrested?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$130KWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$70KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$73KJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
YES 72%/NO 28%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
YES 72%/NO 28%
No ScoreSplit
$198KWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
YES 28%/NO 73%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreSplit
$71KWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
$384KWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreSplit
$143KWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 68%/NO 33%
No ScoreSplit
--Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$17KMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
$476KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 63%/NO 38%
No ScoreSplit
$405KWill Artemis II launch by April 30?
YES 59%/NO 41%
No ScoreSplit
$75KWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$18KUS recession by end of 2026?
YES 32%/NO 69%
No ScoreSplit
$511KWill Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 38%/NO 62%
No ScoreSplit
$22KWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$532KWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
YES 51%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$524KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
YES 64%/NO 37%
No ScoreSplit
$39KWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$24KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$64KWill Meta (META) close above $740 end of March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?
YES 43%/NO 57%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$28KWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
YES 71%/NO 29%
No ScoreSplit
$51KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$34KWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?
YES 68%/NO 33%
No ScoreSplit
$225KDiscord IPO before 2027?
YES 82%/NO 18%
No ScoreSplit
$318KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
YES 47%/NO 54%
No ScoreSplit
$15KRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$314KWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$1.6MWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$9KWill Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$10KNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
YES 98%/NO 2%
No ScoreSplit
$428KWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$69KSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
YES 40%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
$93KWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of March?
YES 47%/NO 54%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 24%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 83%/NO 18%
No ScoreSplit
$156KWill NVIDIA reach $208 in March?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$5KCap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$89KWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
YES 97%/NO 3%
No ScoreSplit
$58KWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$436KEpic Games IPO before 2027?
YES 39%/NO 61%
No ScoreSplit
$56KWill Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 60%/NO 41%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 78%/NO 23%
No ScoreSplit
$438KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$217KMeta "Mango" model released by March 31?
YES 11%/NO 90%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,900 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 32%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$5KOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
YES 23%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$233KWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 50%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
--Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?
YES 49%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
--Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
YES 56%/NO 44%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreLean NO
--Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$123KWill Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong NO
--SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
YES 85%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
$396KWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
YES 63%/NO 38%
No ScoreSplit
$854Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
YES 51%/NO 50%
No ScoreSplit
$551KWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$942Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 9 above $260?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$831Will Google reach $355 in March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $215?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$31KTariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $35,000 (HIGH) in December?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jensen Huang say "Vera Rubin" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 96%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$642Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$47KWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
YES 23%/NO 77%
No ScoreSplit
$2.3MWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
YES 26%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$194KWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
$156KWill Google dip to $275 in March?
YES 18%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?
YES 25%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
--Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$67KWill Google dip to $260 in March?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Jensen Huang say "Partner" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$636Canada recession before 2027?
YES 32%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$42KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$391KWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
YES 3%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$237KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
YES 38%/NO 63%
No ScoreSplit
$32KAnduril IPO before 2027?
YES 26%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
$291KWill Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
YES 39%/NO 61%
No ScoreSplit
$75KWill Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 25%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
$573KWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
YES 70%/NO 30%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?
YES 56%/NO 45%
No ScoreSplit
--Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$73KFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
YES 58%/NO 42%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of March?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreLean NO
--Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$267KDeel IPO before 2027?
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$94KOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
YES 96%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$65KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of March?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Amazon dip to $180 in March?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $650?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of March 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YES 79%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$47KWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$99KWill Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$21KWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
YES 41%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
$65KWill Tesla dip to $300 in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
YES 48%/NO 53%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?
YES 40%/NO 61%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$131KWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 9 above $185?
YES 32%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill Google dip to $290 in March?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$124KWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$23KWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
YES 45%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
$9KOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
YES 35%/NO 65%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $305?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Amazon reach $276 in March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Anthropic IPO before 2027?
YES 35%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$137KGemini 3.5 released by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$507KWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 13?
YES 71%/NO 29%
No ScoreSplit
$8KRippling IPO before 2027?
YES 18%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$83KWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$34KWill Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$4KCerebras IPO before 2027?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$248KFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$106KFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
YES 66%/NO 34%
No ScoreSplit
$74KWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $190?
YES 97%/NO 3%
No ScoreSplit
$2KBusiness & Economics Markets FAQ
How many business & economics prediction markets are available?
There are currently 800 business & economics prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for business & economics markets?
The average alpha score across business & economics markets is 10.1 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for business & economics markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For business & economics markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best business & economics market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked business & economics markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is business & economics market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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