US Politics Prediction Markets
US political prediction markets spanning elections, policy, legislation, and appointments. See where smart money stands on the biggest political questions.
Markets
954
Avg Alpha Score
9.2
Total Volume
$122.7M
With Smart Money Data
954
954 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 100Strong NO
$3.1MWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 100Strong YES
$323KKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
YES 40%/NO 60%
Alpha 98Strong NO
$237KWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 74Strong NO
$694KWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?
YES 38%/NO 63%
Alpha 71Strong NO
$5KWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
YES 40%/NO 61%
Alpha 70Lean YES
$3.7MBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 65Strong NO
$2.7MMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 58Strong NO
$56KUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
YES 37%/NO 63%
Alpha 51Lean NO
$222KWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 50Strong YES
$342KWill Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 49Strong NO
$41KWill Trump say "Third term" in March?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 47Lean YES
$14KWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 59%/NO 41%
Alpha 46Strong YES
$5KWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 56%/NO 45%
Alpha 41Strong YES
$626KWill Trump say "Coward" in March?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 40Strong NO
$4KWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March?
YES 55%/NO 45%
Alpha 38Strong YES
$6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 37Lean NO
$274KWill Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 37Strong NO
$8KWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 33Strong NO
$81KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 33Strong NO
$10KWill Trump say "Truth Social" in March?
YES 66%/NO 34%
Alpha 32Strong YES
$4KWill Trump say "MIGA" or "Make Iran Great Again" this week? (March 15)
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 30Strong NO
$2KInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 30Strong NO
$102KWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
YES 64%/NO 36%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$30KWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$539KWill Trump say "Islamic Revolutionary Guard" or "Iranian Revolutionary Guard" this week? (March 15)
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$413Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 31%/NO 69%
Alpha 29Strong YES
$29KJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$1.5MWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 29Strong NO
$81KWill Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 28Strong NO
$10KInsurrection Act invoked by June 30?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 27Strong NO
$61KWill Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
YES 63%/NO 38%
Alpha 27Lean YES
$52KWill Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 27Strong NO
$47KForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 26Strong NO
$19KWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
YES 34%/NO 67%
Alpha 26Lean NO
$263KWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 26Lean YES
$5.7MWill Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$2KWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$131KWill Trump post "Spain" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 25Strong NO
$4922026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$666KWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 24Strong NO
$1.2MWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
YES 66%/NO 34%
Alpha 24Lean NO
$41KWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 24Lean NO
$485KWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$130KWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
YES 30%/NO 70%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$18KWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 23Strong NO
$14KWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$259KKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 22Lean YES
$87KWill Trump post "Markwayne" or "Mullin" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$7KWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 22Strong YES
$322GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$26KWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$32KWill Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$2KWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$17KWill Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
YES 96%/NO 4%
Alpha 21Lean NO
$266KWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$7KWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$846Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$28KWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$5KWill Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 91%/NO 9%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$6KWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
YES 33%/NO 67%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$315KWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$10KEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 20Strong NO
$14KWill Trump cap credit card interest rates by March 31, 2026?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$3KHillary Clinton charged by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$41KWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES 47%/NO 54%
Alpha 19Lean YES
$291KWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$30KWill the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$38KWill Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$4KWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March?
YES 61%/NO 39%
Alpha 19Strong YES
$1KWill Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$1KWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
YES 90%/NO 10%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$86KWill Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
YES 62%/NO 39%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$2KWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
YES 70%/NO 30%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$18KWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$4KWill the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$20KWill Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$23KWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$5KWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 17Lean YES
$5.6MWill Trump post "Peace in the Middle East" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$2362026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 17Lean YES
$30KWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 17Lean NO
$29.7MWill Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$4KWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$15K2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YES 46%/NO 55%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$917KWill Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$3KWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 16Lean NO
$33KWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$39KWill Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$40KWill Trump say "Churchill" this week? (March 15)
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$711Trump out as President before 2027?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 16Lean NO
$4.5MWill Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$161KWill Trump say "War On Fraud" in March?
YES 59%/NO 41%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$30Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$4KWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$42Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$5KWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
YES 24%/NO 77%
Alpha 16Lean NO
$10KTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 15Lean NO
$324KWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$17KWeed rescheduled by June 30?
YES 39%/NO 62%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$7KWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$9KUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$306KWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$81KWill Trump say "N Word" in March?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$18KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$88KWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$12KNew Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$260Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$19K2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
YES 30%/NO 70%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$61KWill Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$15KWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 69%/NO 31%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$10KWill Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$5KWill Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 54%/NO 47%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$3KWill Trump post "Department of Defense" or "DoD" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$695Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
YES 51%/NO 49%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$2KInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 14Lean NO
$276KWill Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in March?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$6KWill Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$6KWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$360KWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 65%/NO 36%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$10KJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$15KWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$8KWill Trump visit China by April 30?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$864KWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$6.0MWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$1.9MWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$2KWill Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$37KWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YES 62%/NO 39%
Alpha 13Lean NO
$71KWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
YES 46%/NO 55%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$30KWill Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 13Strong YES
$7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
YES 62%/NO 38%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$4KWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$142KWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$111KWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$230KZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
YES 24%/NO 77%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$1.9MMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$655KWill Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$5KWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$36KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$14KWill Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
YES 65%/NO 35%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$2KWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$246KWill Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$5KWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$214KWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
YES 61%/NO 39%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$37KWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$116KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$7KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$6KMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
YES 68%/NO 33%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$51KWill the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$15KWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$6KWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 11Lean NO
$40KWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
YES 76%/NO 24%
Alpha 11Lean NO
$41KWill Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
YES 38%/NO 63%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$190KWill Trump say "Easter" in March?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$2KWill Trump say "Big Fat Cat" in March?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$264Will Trump post "God Bless America" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 55%/NO 45%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$186Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YES 39%/NO 61%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$51KWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$26KWill Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$59Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$6KUK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$153US civil war before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$119KWill Trump say "Banana Republic" in March?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$599Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$368KWill Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$1KWill the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$17KWill Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
YES 93%/NO 8%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$3KWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$12KZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$40KWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
YES 78%/NO 22%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$10KWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be below 600,000 voters?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 10Strong NO
$403Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
YES 64%/NO 37%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$3KWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$47KWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$40KWill Jacob Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$2KWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$14KWill Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$4KWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$18KWill Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$386Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$41KWill Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$7KWill the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$3KWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YES 52%/NO 49%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$23KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$5KEpstein client list released by June 30?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 9Lean NO
$432KWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 9Strong NO
$51KWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
YES 77%/NO 24%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$3KWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$19KWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$17KWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in March 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 9Lean YES
$23KWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$17KWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$5KWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$34KWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$17KWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$148KWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$17KWill Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
YES 60%/NO 41%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$2KWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2KWill Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 15)
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$908Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 95%/NO 6%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$267KWill Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2KWill Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$5KWill Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$6KWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$3KWill the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
YES 69%/NO 32%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$2KWill Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$2KWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$7KWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$10KWill Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$17KWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 8Strong NO
$2KNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$127KWill Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$92KWill Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$3KWill Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$1KWill Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 15)
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$2KWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$16KWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$17KWill Trump sue Michael Wolff by March 31?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$1KWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$12KTrump declares election interference national emergency?
YES 32%/NO 68%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$129KWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 6?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$2KUS congress stock trading ban before 2027?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$16KWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
YES 29%/NO 71%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$30Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$91KTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$13KWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$1KWill Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$17KWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$9KWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$264KWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$18KWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$11KWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
YES 40%/NO 60%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$41KWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$137KWill the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$5KWill Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$3KWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$172KWill Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$2KWill Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 72%/NO 28%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$57KWill the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 10%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$6KWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$14KWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YES 49%/NO 51%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$25KWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$38KTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$36KWill Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$110KWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$13KEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$15KWill Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$336KWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$289KWill David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$899Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$3.4MWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$1.1MWill the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$7KPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$179KWill Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$19KWill Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$15KWill Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$86KWill the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$4KWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
YES 80%/NO 20%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$2KWill the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$352KWill Julie Stauch win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$1KWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$11KWill Kevin Hern replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$2KWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$865Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?
YES 24%/NO 77%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$20KWill Betty Yee advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$3KTrump approval Up or Down this week?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$21KWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$41KWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$8.9MWill Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
YES 30%/NO 70%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$18KWill Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$28KWill the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 10%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$1KWill Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
YES 96%/NO 5%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$3KWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$5KWill Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in March?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$765Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$4KWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$14KWill Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$10KWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$776Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
YES 69%/NO 31%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$1KWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 13, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$11KWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$16K2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$25KWill Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$9KWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$5KWill Trump deport 300-400k people?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$2KWill Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$1KWill Mike Rogers win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$23KWill the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
YES 51%/NO 49%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$32KWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$17KWill Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
YES 79%/NO 22%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$7KWill Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$3KWill the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$4KWill Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$4KWill the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
YES 92%/NO 9%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$6KWill the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$8KWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$11KWill the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 13%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$28KWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$47KWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$204KWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
YES 70%/NO 30%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$2KWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$1.9MWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 5Strong NO
$1KWill the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$7KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 27%/NO 74%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$14KWill Tracie Burke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$5KWill the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 8%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$3KWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$11KWill Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$5KWill the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KWill Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$10KWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$205KWill Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$13KWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$80KWill Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$630Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 92%/NO 9%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$9KWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$18KWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$14KWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 45%/NO 56%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$820KWill the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KWill the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?
YES 87%/NO 14%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KTrump out as President by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$52KWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 8%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$3KWill Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$1KWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$5KWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
YES 89%/NO 11%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$9KWill Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$6KForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$14KWill the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$7KWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$26KWill the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$3KWill the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$3KWill Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$5KWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
YES 69%/NO 31%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$7KWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$101K2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
YES 17%/NO 84%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$756KWill David Hughes win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 4Strong NO
$5KWill the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
YES 76%/NO 24%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$3KChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$1.1MWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$12KWill Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$27KWill Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
YES 81%/NO 20%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$4KWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$39KWill Trump deport 400-500k people?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$2KWill Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$7KWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$40KWill Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$5KWill Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$985Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$501KWill Jim Carlin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$379Will Trump say "Lonely" in March?
YES 39%/NO 61%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" in March?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$1KWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$7KWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$70KWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$4KWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$18KWill Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 51%/NO 50%
Alpha 3Strong YES
--Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$9KWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$2KWill the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$5KWill Tim Walz resign by June 30?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$237KUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$45KWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$2KWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$2KWill Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$262KCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$44KJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$14KWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$3KSusie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$6KWill Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$31KJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 3Lean NO
$228KWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 75%/NO 26%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$66KU.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$82KWill Trump post "Kristi" or "Noem" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Trump post "Panican" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$3KWill the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$7KWill Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$880Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
YES 51%/NO 49%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$3KWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$153KWill Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--Will Stephanie Bice replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$4KWill the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$4KWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$3KWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$668Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$168Will Trump deport 500-600k people?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$2KWill Trump say "Erika Kirk" in March?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Helen Dalton win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$1KWill Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$2KWill Trump meet with Dario Amodei in March 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$3KWill the Republican Party win the NY-09 House seat?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$4KWill the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$1KWill the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$4KWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$102KWill Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 2Lean YES
$271KWill Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$7KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$5KWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
YES 61%/NO 39%
Alpha 2Strong YES
--Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$13KWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$10KWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$20KWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$81KWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
YES 40%/NO 60%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in March 2026?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 2Strong NO
--Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$3KWill Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$7KWill the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 2Strong NO
$4KWill Kaitlin Purrington be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$1KWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 2Strong YES
$25KWill Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$35KWill Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
YES 36%/NO 65%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
YES 55%/NO 46%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 16%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump nationalize elections?
YES 27%/NO 74%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
YES 73%/NO 28%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Les Wexner Testify to Congress about Epstein?
YES 63%/NO 37%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Cory Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 2,400,000 and 2,700,000 voters?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will EDEK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES 27%/NO 73%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
YES 71%/NO 30%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 39%/NO 61%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat?
YES 83%/NO 17%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 79%/NO 21%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Lean YES
$32KWill the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong NO
$630Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
YES 53%/NO 47%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 33%/NO 68%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
YES 52%/NO 48%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 96%/NO 5%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
YES 80%/NO 20%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
YES 44%/NO 56%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
YES 8%/NO 93%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 40%/NO 60%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
YES 63%/NO 37%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
YES 36%/NO 64%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$25KLisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 79%/NO 22%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
YES 74%/NO 26%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?
YES 83%/NO 18%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Alea Nadeem be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Janak Joshi be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?
YES 17%/NO 83%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi in March 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 13%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will DNM (DEK) win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Lean NO
$16KWill Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
YES 80%/NO 21%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
YES 43%/NO 57%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in March 2026?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Saxon Callahan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
YES 48%/NO 53%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?
YES 66%/NO 34%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
YES 94%/NO 6%
Alpha 1Lean NO
--Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Lean NO
$54KWill the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$5KWill the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?
YES 81%/NO 19%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
YES 35%/NO 66%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 38%/NO 62%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
Alpha 1Strong YES
$1KWill Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 26%/NO 74%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?
YES 70%/NO 30%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Weed rescheduled by December 31?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?
YES 83%/NO 18%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 62%/NO 38%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will KOSP win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 42%/NO 58%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
YES 37%/NO 64%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?
YES 84%/NO 16%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
YES 81%/NO 19%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 7%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 15%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 1Lean YES
--Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?
YES 77%/NO 23%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YES 84%/NO 17%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
YES 16%/NO 84%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
YES 53%/NO 47%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
YES 48%/NO 53%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?
YES 94%/NO 7%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
YES 81%/NO 20%
No ScoreSplit
$228KWill Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
YES 5%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$193KWill Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
YES 83%/NO 18%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Christopher Beardsley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
YES 25%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Rick Scott vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 36%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
YES 19%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$52KEpstein storage units raided in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 82%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" in March?
YES 31%/NO 70%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreStrong NO
--SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$918KTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in March?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" in March?
YES 34%/NO 67%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YES 49%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$75KWill Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
YES 18%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$71KWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
YES 87%/NO 14%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YES 26%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$390KWill Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
YES 68%/NO 32%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$342KWill Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?
YES 41%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
YES 43%/NO 57%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 25%/NO 75%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreLean YES
--Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$40KWill Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Mark Gordon win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
YES 65%/NO 35%
No ScoreSplit
$718KWill Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 80%/NO 20%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
YES 34%/NO 67%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
YES 27%/NO 73%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?
YES 51%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 77%/NO 23%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 15%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
YES 36%/NO 65%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
YES 30%/NO 71%
No ScoreSplit
$57KWill Bernie Sanders vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Marni Sawicki win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$157KWill the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$612KWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 42%/NO 59%
No ScoreSplit
$296KWill the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$125KWill Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Trump impeached by end of 2026?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$574KWill Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YES 62%/NO 39%
No ScoreSplit
$63KWill Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
YES 76%/NO 24%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
YES 87%/NO 14%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
YES 91%/NO 9%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
YES 77%/NO 24%
No ScoreSplit
$288KWill the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 16%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?
YES 87%/NO 14%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 12%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Venezuela become 51st state?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$22KWill the Republican Party win the MA-04 House seat?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will 55 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
YES 27%/NO 73%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?
YES 54%/NO 47%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$56KICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$289KWill Ted Dabrowski win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$81KWill Mark Brnovich be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 31%/NO 70%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump resign before 2027?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 26%/NO 75%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in March 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in March?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?
YES 23%/NO 77%
No ScoreSplit
$19KWill Trump and Putin not meet?
YES 68%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$494KWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?
YES 12%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump meet with Mark Zuckerberg in March 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
YES 81%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump say "Liberation Day" in March?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
$111Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$18KWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$370KWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$63KWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 15%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 26%/NO 74%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 13, 2026?
YES 55%/NO 46%
No ScoreSplit
$9KWill Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
YES 18%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
YES 65%/NO 36%
No ScoreSplit
$32KWill Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$17KWill Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
YES 85%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
YES 34%/NO 67%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$52KWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
--Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$27KWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
YES 79%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?
YES 84%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$66KWill Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
YES 24%/NO 77%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 9%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Gwen Graham be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$19KWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$27KWill Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$36KWill the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
YES 90%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$135KWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
YES 63%/NO 37%
No ScoreSplit
$271KWill Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
$323KWill the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
YES 31%/NO 69%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 15%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump visit China by March 31?
YES 65%/NO 35%
No ScoreSplit
$1.4MWill Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
YES 98%/NO 2%
No ScoreSplit
$76KWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 23%/NO 78%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 79%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$22KWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
$126KWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
YES 95%/NO 6%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
YES 77%/NO 23%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$77KWill the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$116KWill the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?
YES 89%/NO 12%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump attend UFC 327?
YES 34%/NO 67%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump meet with Sam Altman in March 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$23KWill Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
YES 21%/NO 80%
No ScoreSplit
$44KWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 58%/NO 42%
No ScoreSplit
$78KWill Trump deport 200-300k people?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
YES 58%/NO 42%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
YES 55%/NO 45%
No ScoreSplit
$236KWill the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Trump meet with Satya Nadella in March 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill the Republican Party win the OH-04 House seat?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
YES 4%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$49KWill the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
YES 47%/NO 53%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 12%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$114KWill Joy Eakins win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Ron Johnson vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill Pat Hahn win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$41KWill John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?
YES 30%/NO 71%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$133KWill the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?
YES 81%/NO 20%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
YES 87%/NO 13%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 79%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
YES 17%/NO 84%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 87%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$42KWill the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreSplit
$61KWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Shelly deZevallos be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Trump say "Low Energy" in March?
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES 54%/NO 47%
No ScoreSplit
$470KWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
YES 20%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15)
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$1KWill Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
YES 88%/NO 12%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$201KWill Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
YES 17%/NO 83%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
YES 65%/NO 36%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill John Trobough be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 94%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 16%/NO 84%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will James Clark be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$49KWill the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
YES 91%/NO 9%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat?
YES 89%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
YES 89%/NO 11%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 20%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$12KWill the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?
YES 79%/NO 22%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
YES 37%/NO 64%
No ScoreSplit
$449KWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
YES 76%/NO 25%
No ScoreSplit
$1.3MWill Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?
YES 17%/NO 84%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Weed rescheduled by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$238KWill the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?
YES 95%/NO 6%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
YES 91%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
YES 3%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean NO
--Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
YES 27%/NO 74%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the NY-20 House seat?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
YES 69%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$60KWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$107KWill Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$11KWill 50 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 40%/NO 60%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$12KWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump say "UFC Fight" in March?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$428Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
YES 81%/NO 20%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
YES 94%/NO 6%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$4K2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$25KWill Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
YES 20%/NO 80%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 82%/NO 19%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
YES 93%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
YES 69%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$29KWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
YES 33%/NO 67%
No ScoreSplit
$18KWill Pamela Stevenson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Joel Willett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
YES 63%/NO 38%
No ScoreSplit
$46KWill the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$229KWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$23KWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
YES 92%/NO 9%
No ScoreSplit
--SBF released from custody in 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$261KWill Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
YES 21%/NO 79%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
YES 24%/NO 76%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YES 49%/NO 52%
No ScoreSplit
$138KWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
YES 33%/NO 68%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Ritesh Tandon advance from the CA-17 primary?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
--Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
YES 19%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$8KWill Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 87%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump deport more than 1m people?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
YES 12%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 69%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
YES 5%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
YES 88%/NO 13%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$10KWill John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 12%/NO 88%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
YES 75%/NO 26%
No ScoreSplit
$27KWill Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?
YES 14%/NO 86%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
YES 48%/NO 52%
No ScoreLean YES
--Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
YES 73%/NO 28%
No ScoreSplit
$17KWill Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
YES 88%/NO 12%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 10%/NO 91%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump deport 600-700k people?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$282KWill the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?
YES 60%/NO 40%
No ScoreSplit
$4KICE shooter charged by March 31?
YES 6%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$565KWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
YES 11%/NO 89%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?
YES 91%/NO 9%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?
YES 86%/NO 14%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?
YES 85%/NO 15%
No ScoreStrong YES
--US Politics Markets FAQ
How many us politics prediction markets are available?
There are currently 954 us politics prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for us politics markets?
The average alpha score across us politics markets is 9.2 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for us politics markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For us politics markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best us politics market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked us politics markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is us politics market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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