Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
YES Price
94.0%
NO Price
6.0%
Volume
--
Liquidity
$8.8K
Days to Expiry
186
Sep 15, 2026
Alpha Score
Insufficient Data
The Alpha Score measures the divergence between market price and smart money positioning on a 0–100 scale. Higher scores indicate larger gaps between what the market thinks and what informed traders are betting on.
Smart Money Consensus
Direction
Split
Strength
33.3%
Edge
--
Smart Wallets
3
Total smart money volume: $1.2K across 3 wallets. Direction: SPLIT.
Market Analysis
Smart money is divided on this market. 3 tracked wallets have placed $1.2K in total positions, but without a clear directional consensus. A split among informed traders often indicates genuine uncertainty — this market may be closer to a coin flip than the current prices suggest.
With YES priced at 94.0%, this is a high-probability market with limited upside. A YES win returns only 6% on capital. The real opportunity may be on the NO side if you believe the market is overestimating the likelihood of this outcome. At 6.0% for NO, a correct contrarian bet returns 16.7x.
This is a longer-dated market with 186 days to resolution. While the annualized return potential can look attractive, extended timelines come with significant uncertainty. Smart money positions taken this far out reflect high-conviction views, but a lot can change.
Trading Opportunity
Opportunity Score
5/72
Low Opportunity
Annualized Return
--
If consensus is correct
Liquidity
$8.8K
Available depth
Current metrics suggest limited trading opportunity in this market. The edge may be too small, the timeline too long, or the liquidity too thin to warrant a high-conviction position. Monitor for changes in smart money positioning.
Trade This Market on PolyFire
Copy smart money trades automatically. One-click execution via Telegram.
Open PolyFire BotFrequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?"?
As of the latest data, the market prices YES at 94.0% and NO at 6.0%. This means the market-implied probability of this outcome is 94.0%.
What does smart money think about "Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?"?
Smart money consensus is Split with 33% strength. 3 tracked wallets — traders with a history of profitable predictions — have taken positions totaling $1.2K. Their overall direction is SPLIT.
Is "Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?" a good trading opportunity?
This market has an opportunity score of 5 out of 72 and an alpha score of N/A out of 100. As with all prediction markets, past smart money performance does not guarantee future results.
When does this us politics market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026. That's 186 days from the time of analysis.
How liquid is the "Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?" market?
The market has $8.8K in liquidity. Thin liquidity — may experience slippage on larger orders
Get Alpha Delivered
Weekly smart money moves, top-scoring markets, and data-driven predictions. No noise.
Coming soon.