Pop Culture Prediction Markets
Prediction markets on viral moments, social media milestones, celebrity events, and cultural phenomena. Where smart money meets pop culture.
Markets
269
Avg Alpha Score
16.8
Total Volume
$125.1M
With Smart Money Data
269
269 markets sorted by Alpha Score
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
YES 50%/NO 50%
Alpha 100Strong YES
$482KWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 91Strong YES
$582KWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 80Strong NO
$5KWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 72Lean YES
$345KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 63Strong YES
$9KWill "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%/NO 59%
Alpha 58Strong NO
$3KWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 20%/NO 80%
Alpha 54Strong YES
$2.0MWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 76%/NO 25%
Alpha 53Lean YES
$2.2MWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 54%/NO 47%
Alpha 50Strong YES
$4KWill The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 49Strong NO
$14KWill "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 49Strong NO
$671Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?
YES 41%/NO 60%
Alpha 47Strong NO
$11KWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 46Lean YES
$499KWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 45Strong NO
$16.8MOscars Bingo
YES 55%/NO 46%
Alpha 44Strong YES
$6KWill "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 43Strong NO
$3KWill Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 39Strong NO
$9KWill Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 38Strong NO
$11KWill "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?
YES 91%/NO 9%
Alpha 34Strong YES
$3KWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?
YES 92%/NO 8%
Alpha 33Strong YES
$38KWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 33Strong YES
$3KWill "Kylie" be said at the Oscars?
YES 46%/NO 54%
Alpha 32Strong NO
$41Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 31Strong NO
$14KWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 31Lean YES
$175KWill Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 31Lean YES
$7KWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 66%/NO 34%
Alpha 29Strong YES
$197KWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 29Lean YES
$586KWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$810KWill "Ellison" be said at the Oscars?
YES 34%/NO 66%
Alpha 27Strong NO
$24Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 27Strong YES
$589KWill "Zionist" or "Zionism" be said at the Oscars?
YES 23%/NO 77%
Alpha 27Strong NO
$194Will "Sinners" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 26Strong NO
$6KWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 26Strong NO
$5KWill Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
YES 65%/NO 35%
Alpha 26Lean NO
$21KWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$461KWill Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 24Strong YES
$353KWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 34%/NO 67%
Alpha 23Strong YES
$38KWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 45%/NO 55%
Alpha 23Strong YES
$652KWill Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 22Strong NO
$14KWill A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 22Lean YES
$25KWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 21Lean YES
$328KWill Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 21Strong YES
$239KWill Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$29KWill Rizo Velovic be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 21Strong NO
$3KWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$448KWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 20Lean NO
$16KWill Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 20Lean YES
$23KWill Retirement Plan win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 20Strong YES
$22KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$6KWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 19Strong NO
$211Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 56%/NO 45%
Alpha 19Lean NO
$57KWill Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?
YES 22%/NO 79%
Alpha 19Lean NO
$34KWill Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?
YES 90%/NO 10%
Alpha 18Strong YES
$12KWill Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 18Strong NO
$3KWill Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 19%/NO 81%
Alpha 17Lean NO
$309KWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 24%/NO 77%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$42KWill Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 17Strong NO
$713Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 17Strong YES
$19KWill All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$30KWill "Shame" be said at the Oscars?
YES 47%/NO 53%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$24Will "Sinners" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$10KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 32%/NO 68%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$859KWill France win Eurovision 2026?
YES 14%/NO 86%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$847KWill Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
YES 57%/NO 43%
Alpha 16Strong YES
$1KWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 16Lean YES
$87KWill "Elon" be said at the Oscars?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 16Strong NO
$38Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 23%/NO 78%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$36KNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
YES 56%/NO 44%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$653KWill "Palestine" be said at the Oscars?
YES 71%/NO 30%
Alpha 15Strong NO
$276Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$73KWill Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 15Strong YES
$19KWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 15Lean YES
$410KWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$43.5MWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$32KWill MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 97%/NO 3%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$2KWill "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?
YES 73%/NO 27%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$4KWill Colby Donaldson be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 14Strong NO
$807Will F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 14Lean YES
$13KWill "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?
YES 50%/NO 51%
Alpha 14Lean NO
$173Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 97%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$11KWill Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 14Strong YES
$4KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 13Strong NO
$2KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
YES 16%/NO 85%
Alpha 13Lean YES
$265KWill "Peace" be said at the Oscars?
YES 82%/NO 18%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$2KWill The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 89%/NO 12%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$19KWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$43KWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
YES 87%/NO 13%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$63KWill Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 21%/NO 80%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$16KWill The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 27%/NO 74%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$20KWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 12Lean YES
$62KWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars?
YES 84%/NO 16%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$4KWill Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$792Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars?
YES 88%/NO 12%
Alpha 12Strong YES
$2KWill "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 25%/NO 76%
Alpha 12Lean NO
$21KWill Dee Valladares be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 12Strong NO
$810Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$21KWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 31%/NO 70%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$79KWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$692KWill Chrissy Hofbeck be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 38%/NO 63%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$3KWill Kanye West have a #1 hit in April?
YES 32%/NO 69%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$43Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 22%/NO 78%
Alpha 11Lean NO
$82KWill Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$17KWill "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 11Strong NO
$535Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 11Strong YES
$29KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$82KWill Forevergreen win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$3KWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 13%/NO 88%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$76KWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
YES 49%/NO 52%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$10.0MWill "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?
YES 14%/NO 87%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$646Will One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$19KWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 10Lean YES
$687KWill "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?
YES 18%/NO 83%
Alpha 10Lean NO
$487Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 20%/NO 81%
Alpha 10Strong YES
$5KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$3KWill Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 71%/NO 29%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$626Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$1.1MWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$79KWill Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 5%/NO 96%
Alpha 9Strong YES
$1KWill "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 21?
YES 96%/NO 4%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$78KWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 46%/NO 55%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$75K50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$70KWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$91KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
YES 11%/NO 89%
Alpha 8Lean NO
$18KWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 8Strong YES
$83KWill Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 8Lean YES
$71KWill Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$2KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$168KWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$3KWill Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 15%/NO 85%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$1KWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$140KWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 5m and 5.5m?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$14KWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$3KWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$3KWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$3KWill "Sinners" win 10 or more awards at the Oscars?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$7KWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$93KWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
YES 91%/NO 9%
Alpha 7Strong NO
$68K100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
YES 28%/NO 72%
Alpha 7Lean NO
$15KWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 7Strong YES
$3KWill The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 9%/NO 92%
Alpha 7Lean YES
$4KRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
YES 68%/NO 32%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$1KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?
YES 25%/NO 75%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$28KWill Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
YES 28%/NO 73%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$284Will Chaiany Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 6Lean YES
$28KWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 34%/NO 66%
Alpha 6Lean NO
$18KWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$4KWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$2KWill The Three Sisters win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 6Strong NO
$2KWill "Hamnet" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 6Strong YES
$3KWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 10%/NO 91%
Alpha 5Lean NO
$8KWill Children no More: Were and Are Gone win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$2KWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$76KWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$144KWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Lean YES
$106KWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$1.4MWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$377KWill Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 5Strong YES
$772Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$791KWill "Sinners" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?
YES 4%/NO 96%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$10KWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 12%/NO 88%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$331KWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$218KTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
YES 59%/NO 41%
Alpha 4Lean YES
$56KWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 8%/NO 92%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$156KWill Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KWill Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
YES 5%/NO 95%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$2KWill "Frankenstein" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$5KWill Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
YES 66%/NO 35%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$48KWill Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 4Strong YES
$17KWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 10%/NO 90%
Alpha 4Lean NO
$69KWill Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 7%/NO 93%
Alpha 3Strong NO
$659Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 24%/NO 76%
Alpha 3Strong YES
$344Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 12%/NO 89%
Alpha 3Lean YES
$126KWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
YES 6%/NO 94%
Alpha 2Lean NO
$475KTony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will Hudson Williams attend the Oscars?
YES 95%/NO 5%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?
YES 13%/NO 87%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 8 awards at the Oscars?
YES 9%/NO 91%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?
YES 18%/NO 82%
Alpha 1Strong NO
--Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?
YES 90%/NO 11%
Alpha 1Strong YES
--Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
YES 59%/NO 42%
No ScoreSplit
--Trump out as President before GTA VI?
YES 53%/NO 48%
No ScoreSplit
$537KWill "Sentimental Value" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 25%/NO 75%
No ScoreSplit
$17KWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
YES 8%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$11KWill "President" be said at the Oscars?
YES 68%/NO 32%
No ScoreSplit
$624Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$50KWill "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?
YES 62%/NO 39%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Kanye West release a new song in 2026?
YES 90%/NO 10%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?
YES 50%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$22KWill "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?
YES 39%/NO 61%
No ScoreSplit
$374Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 15%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$490Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?
YES 28%/NO 73%
No ScoreSplit
$2KWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 80%/NO 21%
No ScoreSplit
$135KWill "Mom" be said at the Oscars?
YES 94%/NO 7%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 66%/NO 34%
No ScoreSplit
$35KWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$140KWill Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 52%/NO 48%
No ScoreSplit
$41KWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Hamnet win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$14KWill Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$62KWill Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$550Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$53KWill "Alien" be said at the Oscars?
YES 56%/NO 45%
No ScoreSplit
$103Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?
YES 28%/NO 72%
No ScoreSplit
$199KWill "White House" be said at the Oscars?
YES 23%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$71Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
YES 37%/NO 63%
No ScoreSplit
$1.2MWill Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?
YES 10%/NO 90%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 79%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$25KWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
YES 52%/NO 49%
No ScoreSplit
$1.5MNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
YES 64%/NO 36%
No ScoreSplit
$682KWill "Sex" be said at the Oscars?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill "Trump" be said at the Oscars?
YES 44%/NO 56%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 45%/NO 55%
No ScoreSplit
$32KWill Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 7%/NO 93%
No ScoreSplit
$16KWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$4KWill MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$26KWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
YES 49%/NO 51%
No ScoreSplit
$3.5MWill "Leo" be said at the Oscars?
YES 84%/NO 17%
No ScoreSplit
$298Will Trump say "Kanye" or "Taylor Swift" in March?
YES 11%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$278Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$270KWill Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
--Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 9%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$2.1MWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
YES 22%/NO 78%
No ScoreSplit
$22KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$4KTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
YES 9%/NO 91%
No ScoreSplit
$180KWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 19%/NO 81%
No ScoreSplit
$3.0MWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$71KWill Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$49KWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
YES 13%/NO 88%
No ScoreSplit
$35KWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 93%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$671KWill Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 8%/NO 92%
No ScoreSplit
$35KWill Drake release an album in 2026?
YES 97%/NO 3%
No ScoreStrong YES
--GTA VI released before June 2026?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$10.6MWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$140KWill The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$7KWill Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$646New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
YES 11%/NO 90%
No ScoreSplit
$738KWill Logan Paul score a TD during Flag Football Classic?
YES 68%/NO 33%
No ScoreSplit
$6KWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 96%/NO 4%
No ScoreSplit
$135KWill Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
YES 77%/NO 24%
No ScoreStrong NO
--Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?
YES 54%/NO 46%
No ScoreStrong YES
--Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?
YES 85%/NO 16%
No ScoreSplit
$13KWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$145KWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?
YES 6%/NO 94%
No ScoreSplit
$614KWill The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 3%/NO 97%
No ScoreSplit
$15KWill MrBeast hit 116 billion views by March 31?
YES 48%/NO 52%
No ScoreSplit
$3KWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?
YES 4%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$544KWill Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 78%/NO 22%
No ScoreSplit
$45KRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
YES 57%/NO 43%
No ScoreSplit
$1.4MWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
YES 76%/NO 25%
No ScoreSplit
$53KWill Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$14KWill "Sinners" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreSplit
$9KWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 97%/NO 3%
No ScoreSplit
$332KWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
YES 34%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$20KWill "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
YES 27%/NO 73%
No ScoreSplit
$17KWill MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?
YES 5%/NO 95%
No ScoreLean YES
--Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
YES 34%/NO 66%
No ScoreSplit
$30KWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 92%/NO 8%
No ScoreSplit
$21KWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
YES 95%/NO 5%
No ScoreSplit
$25KWill "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
YES 21%/NO 80%
No ScoreSplit
$71KWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 2%/NO 98%
No ScoreSplit
$315KWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
YES 63%/NO 37%
No ScoreSplit
$607KWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
YES 16%/NO 85%
No ScoreSplit
$16KWill "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
YES 87%/NO 13%
No ScoreSplit
$34KWill Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?
YES 18%/NO 82%
No ScoreSplit
$5KWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YES 5%/NO 96%
No ScoreSplit
$147KWill One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
YES 13%/NO 87%
No ScoreSplit
$32KPop Culture Markets FAQ
How many pop culture prediction markets are available?
There are currently 269 pop culture prediction markets being tracked and analyzed on PolyPulse. Each market includes smart money consensus data, alpha scoring, and opportunity assessment.
What is the average alpha score for pop culture markets?
The average alpha score across pop culture markets is 16.8 out of 100. Markets in this category tend to be more efficiently priced, with smart money and the broader market more closely aligned.
How does smart money analysis work for pop culture markets?
PolyPulse tracks thousands of wallets with a demonstrated history of profitable prediction market trades. For pop culture markets, we analyze their position direction (YES/NO), size, and timing to generate a consensus signal. When smart money heavily favors one side, it often indicates an edge the broader market hasn't priced in.
What is the best pop culture market to trade right now?
Markets are ranked by alpha score, which measures the gap between smart money consensus and current market pricing. The top-ranked pop culture markets on this page have the highest alpha scores, indicating the largest potential edge. However, always consider liquidity, time to expiry, and your own analysis before trading.
How often is pop culture market data updated?
Market data including prices, volume, smart money positions, and alpha scores are refreshed regularly to reflect the latest on-chain activity. Smart money consensus can shift as new positions are taken, so check back frequently for updated analysis.
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